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In the past, is about 2008, there have been many major events, including Barak – Obama (Barack Obama) in the United States won the presidential election, as well as the spreading economic crisis, and so on. These factors will also in 2009 the IT has also brought a lot of uncertainty. To this end, IDG News Service (IDG News Service) the author of the 2009 U.S. IT industry trends in the forecast.

It should be noted that this forecast does not include Microsoft or Yahoo to acquire Yahoo’s search business, because they believe the deal will be reached by the year 2008.

1, the economy is likely to remain slack

In 2009, the economy will continue to be reported to occupy the major news media headlines. I believe no one knows how long will the economic downturn. However, we believe that by mid-2009, there will be a sign of improvement, growth will start to the end of the year. However, this process will be accompanied by more layoffs, corporate IT departments will also be difficult. The hardware and consumer electronics industry in 2009 will be hit hard. Fitch (FITCH) believes that in 2009 the global PC shipment growth will be stagnant or even decline of 3%.

2, DDR3 become mainstream

Everything has two sides, the economic downturn the same. Economic downturn can drive innovation, enterprises need new technologies and new products to attract consumers. DRAM market in this area was particularly prominent, many DRAM makers are stepping up the development of DDR3 memory chips, with a view to the market as soon as possible. In order to promote the DDR3 memory chips, they also need the motherboard, chipset manufacturers, as well as microprocessors. However, we believe that DDR3 will become in 2009 the new mainstream DRAM chip.

3, prices of the Internet

Of the Internet (Netbook) for its compact size, low-cost energy-saving features under a wide range of concerns. Of the Internet will continue to maintain high-speed development, but we believe that the average price of such products from the current 400 to 500 U.S. dollars down to 200 to 300 dollar range. This is mainly by the manufacturers of production capacity decision. The greater the yield, the more the price at the end.

4, iPhone is still beautiful

U.S. market research firm IDC said that with the Internet expansion of the market gradually, as well as declining prices, they will pose a threat to cell phones, navigation devices such as mobile consumer electronics products. Although the iPhone may not be able to protect themselves, but we still believe that the smartphone market while maintaining prosperity, iPhone will play a very important role.

In addition, IDC also expects the market becomes saturated, and a large number of alternatives to reduce people’s enthusiasm to buy a new machine, so portable multimedia players will appear in 2009 fell for the first time.

5, Sun usher in a new CEO

We believe that the Sun will look for a new CEO to replace Jonathan – Schwartz (Jonathan Schwartz). Schwartz, or take the initiative to resign or be removed, but in any case, we believe that he could not in the position of the Sun CEO to remain in office at the end of 2009. And the fate of the Sun will change, either by acquisition or have been privatized.

6, Time Warner dismantled burden

In order to get rid America Online (AOL) this burden, Time Warner (Time Warner Inc.) There are two options: (1) America Online off into an independent company; (2) the sale of America Online or other Company merged to form a new joint venture.

7, Microsoft released Windows 7

Microsoft has not yet announced the release date of Windows 7. The earlier news that, Windows 7 will be released in early 2010, but Microsoft executives have recently hinted that they might release at the end of 2009 in Windows 7. Windows Vista’s performance has been unsatisfactory, with low occupancy rates. And the popularity of the Internet has also helped erode the Linux part of the Windows share. However, Microsoft in October of this year at the Microsoft “Professional Developers Conference (Professional Developers Conference)” to display the Windows 7 beta version has received a warm response. As a result, we believe that Microsoft will launch as soon as possible, Windows 7, the time should be on the end of 2009. Windows 7, whether on the impact of Vista is a positive or negative, we believe that Windows 7 will help Microsoft in 2008 to recapture the operating system market share to lose.

8, “cloud computing” have universal

In 2009, the enterprise will be more use of “software as a service (SaaS)” and “cloud computing” model to cut storage costs. The provision of “software as a service” and “cloud computing” services companies will attract more customers and more profits. At the same time, many companies do not want to see through others to manage their own data and to provide services in the company’s internal firewall to establish the “private cloud (private clouds)” will gradually be people of all ages. “大鱼吃小鱼” M & A will also be in the emerging field of cloud computing. Google, Amazon and other large companies will increase investment in this area and active mergers and acquisitions of smaller firms.

9, network security is becoming increasingly serious

With malicious software successfully infected with Flash and PDF documents, cyber crime, we will also bring more trouble. In 2009 there will be more formidable Trojan horse program was born. For these reasons, we expect that 2009 will be a major online retailers out security flaws, and hackers can take a large number of users access to the credit card number and personal information.

Internet security company Finjan expects the number of people engaging in cyber-crime will continue to increase, which is expected, however, it is worth noting that another message: Finjan said that there will be more unemployed IT professionals to join the network in the crime. In addition, former employees of the company for invasion Xie Sifen network will also be many things.

10, Obama factor

The industry has written numerous articles on Obama should be solved with technology-related issues are described. Obama even though the former president more than technical proficiency in this area and would be given more attention, but in our view, I am afraid that many predict could not do so in the year 2009 can be achieved. Obama is likely to appoint the first history of the United States Government CTO (chief technology officer), which posts the most important task is to strengthen the federal government’s ability to network security defense, and very likely in the first half of 2009 on the introduction of related .

We also predicted Obama would be the appointment of a new Federal Communications Commission (FCC) Chairman, the new chairman will lead the Federal Communications Commission issued related policies in order to prevent operators limit the user’s Web browsing behavior. A faster way of universal broadband access will be implemented, rather than a mere scrap of paper.